×

Can Heart of the Sea Knock Katniss from Box Office Top Slot?

By Brian Gallagher — December 8th, 2015

In what could best be described as the "calm before the storm" at the box office this weekend, Warner Bros.' In the Heart of the Sea is the only new wide release, with Universal's Legend expanding nationwide. According to projections from BoxOffice.com, In the Heart of the Sea is set to take in $17 million during its opening, which is low by mid-December standards, but should be enough to end the three-week reign of The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2. The low figures are attributed largely to the massive release of Disney's Star Wars: The Force Awakens on December 18.

In the weekend before blockbusters such as Avengers: Age of Ultron and Jurassic World opened, the box office saw a significant downturn, as fans got ready for those highly-anticipated movies to hit theaters. It's no surprise that this weekend will not be any different, since Star Wars: The Force Awakens is expected to be one of the biggest movies this year. Last month, Star Wars: The Force Awakens already broke a box office record by taking in $50 million in advance ticket sales, shattering the record of $25 million by 2012's The Dark Knight Rises. There was speculation that Star Wars: The Force Awakens could reach upwards of $100 million in pre-sales before opening day, but no updated figures have been released.

In the Heart of the Sea is set in the winter of 1820, when the New England whaling ship Essex was assaulted by something no one could believe: a whale of mammoth size and will, and an almost human sense of vengeance. The real-life maritime disaster would inspire Herman Melville's Moby Dick, but that told only half the story. In the Heart of the Sea reveals the encounter's harrowing aftermath, as the ship's surviving crew is pushed to their limits and forced to do the unthinkable to stay alive. Braving storms, starvation, panic and despair, the men will call into question their deepest beliefs, from the value of their lives to the morality of their trade, as their captain searches for direction on the open sea and his first mate still seeks to bring the great whale down.

In the Heart of the Sea stars Chris Hemsworth, Tom Holland, Cillian Murphy, Benjamin Walker, Charlotte Riley, Brendan Gleeson, Ben Whishaw, Frank Dillane, Michelle Fairley and Paul Anderson. Ron Howard directs this adaptation of Nathaniel Philbrick's book, with Charles Leavitt, Rick Jaffa and Amanda Silver writing the screenplay adaptation. Even with the star power of Chris Hemsworth, In the Heart of the Sea, which cost an estimated $100 million to produce, may sink at the box office.

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2's three-week streak will come to an end this weekend, taking in an estimated $10 million in its fourth frame in theaters. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 opened with $102 million, the lowest of all four films in the franchise, and it currently sits at $227.3 million after three weeks in theaters. While we'll have to wait and see if it can surpass $300 million domestically, it seems like a long shot that it will surpass The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1's domestic total of $337.1 million. It's possible that these middling grosses could help put an end to the trend of studios splitting the final novel of a trilogy into a two-part movie, but we'll have to wait and see.

Universal's Krampus, which performed better than expected last weekend, opening with $16 million, is expected to drop to third place with $9.2 million, with Creed ($8.8 million) and The Good Dinosaur ($8.2 million) rounding out the top 5. Krampus has already turned a profit, since it was produced for just $15 million, following a horned beast who punishes naughty children at Christmastime. When dysfunctional family squabbling causes young Max (Emjay Anthony) to lose his festive spirit, it unleashes the wrath of the fearsome demon. As Krampus lays siege to the Engel home, mom (Toni Collette), pop (Adam Scott), sister (Stefania Owen) and brother must band together to save one another from a monstrous fate. The supporting cast includes Allison Tolman and David Koechner, with Michael Dougherty (Trick 'r Treat) directing.

Rounding out the top 10 will be Spectre ($3 million), The Night Before ($2.7 million), The Peanuts Movie ($2 million), Spotlight ($1.6 million) and Brooklyn ($1.2 million). Despite expanding nationwide, Universal's Legend could be the latest wide release to debut out of the top 10 this weekend, following flops like Jem and the Holograms and Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse. Legend is expected to take in less than $1 million in its opening weekend, despite a critically-acclaimed dual role from Tom Hardy. The film opened November 20 in limited release, earning $86,836 from four theaters for a $21,709 per-screen average, but it's per-screen average has been dropping steadily since then, despite adding more theaters each week. It isn't known how many theaters the crime drama will expand into this weekend. Opening in limited release this weekend is Paramount's The Big Short, Gravitas Ventures' Bleeding Heart, GKIDS' The Boy and the World, Lionsgate Premiere's Don Verdean and Freestyle Releasing's The Girl in the Book.

Looking ahead to next weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens will finally hit theaters, alongside Universal's Sisters and 20th Century Fox's Alvin and The Chipmunks: The Road Chip. While it's somewhat unusual for a movie as big as Star Wars: The Force Awakens to have any competition whatsoever, both Sisters and Alvin and The Chipmunks: The Road Chip are aimed at very different demographics, but we'll have to wait and see how they perform against a behemoth like Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Until then, take a look at the projections for the week of December 11 below.

PREDICTED WEEKEND BOX OFFICE:

1In the Heart of the Sea
2The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2
3Krampus
4Creed
5The Good Dinosaur
6Spectre
7The Night Before
8The Peanuts Movie
9Spotlight
10Brooklyn

Related Stories