Can Arrival Beat Doctor Strange at the Box Office?
Much to no one's surprise, Marvel debuted yet another box office hit with their new Phase 3 adventure Doctor Strange, which took in just over $85 million last weekend, slightly ahead of the $84.9 million estimates on Sunday. This weekend, three new releases try to knock the Sorcerer Supreme off the top spot, with Paramount's Arrival, Universal's Almost Christmas and EuropaCorp's Shut In arriving in wide release. Despite this trio of new competitors, we're predicting that Doctor Strange should have no problem hanging on to the top spot with $43.4 million.
Doctor Strange debuted in 3,882 theaters last weekend, pulling in an impressive $21,911 per-screen average. While it remains to be seen if that theater count will be altered this weekend, as it stands now, this superhero adventure will likely be playing in roughly more than 1,600 theaters than its new competitors this weekend. Box Office Mojo reports that Almost Christmas and Arrival will both debut in roughly 2,200 theaters, while Shut In is slated to open in 1,850 theaters.
As of now, Arrival is the only movie of the new releases with enough reviews for a Rotten Tomatoes listing, posting an astonishing 100% with 69 total reviews. Given all of this critical acclaim, it's possible that Arrival could actually challenge Doctor Strange with an impressive performance in its opening weekend. If it were to match the predicted $43.5 million take of Doctor Strange, it would need to earn at least a $19,727 per-screen average, based on the estimated 2,200 theater count. Still, while we think it will be a close race, Arrival will open in second place with $41.6 million.
When mysterious spacecraft touch down across the globe, an elite team - lead by expert linguist Louise Banks (Amy Adams) - are brought together to investigate. As mankind teeters on the verge of global war, Banks and the team race against time for answers - and to find them, she will take a chance that could threaten her life, and quite possibly humanity. Jeremy Renner leads a supporting cast which also includes Michael Stuhlbarg, Forest Whitaker and Tzi Ma, with Denis Villeneuve (Prisoners, Sicario) directing from a script by Eric Heisserer (Lights Out).
A new comedy from writer/director David E. Talbert (Baggage Claim) and producer Will Packer (Ride Along, Think Like a Man series, This Christmas), Almost Christmas tells the festive story of a beloved patriarch who asks his family for one gift this holiday season: to get along. If they can honor that wish and spend five days under the same roof without killing one another, it will be a Christmas miracle. The ensemble cast includes Gabrielle Union, Danny Glover, Nicole Ari Parker, Jessie Usher, Omar Epps, Kimberly Elise, Romany Malco and Mo'nique.
Shut In is a heart-pounding thriller starring Naomi Watts as a widowed child psychologist who lives an isolated existence in rural New England. When a young boy Mary (Watts) is treating goes missing, and is presumed dead, she becomes convinced that his ghost is haunting her and her bedridden son. The cast also includes Room star Jacob Tremblay, Oliver Platt and Charlie Heaton. Rounding out the top 5 will be Trolls $30.2 million, Almost Christmas ($14.5 million) and Shut In ($8.9 million).
Rounding out the top 10 will be Hacksaw Ridge ($7.2 million), Boo! A Madea Halloween ($4.7 million), Inferno ($3.1 million), The Accountant ($2.8 million) and Jack Reacher: Never Go Back ($2.1 million). Also opening in limited release this weekend is Sony's Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk, Sony Pictures Classics' Elle, Argot Pictures' The Anthropologist, Indican's The Fiance, Strand's Kiki, Love to Love, Oscilloscope Pictures' The Love Witch and Music Box Films' Seasons. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk is set to expand nationwide on November 18.
Looking ahead to next weekend, Warner Bros. will bring its Harry Potter franchise back to theaters with Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, which will go up against Open Road Films' boxing drama Bleed For This and STX Entertainment's The Edge of Seventeen. Also opening in limited release is Magnolia's horror-thriller The Eyes of My Mother, Well Go USA's dramatic comedy I Am Not Madame Bovary, Roadside Attractions' drama Manchester by the Sea, Focus Features' thriller Nocturnal Animals, Magnolia's action movie Officer Downe, Cleopatra Films' dramatic comedy A Street Cat Named Bob and High Top Releasing's action movie The Take. Check back on Sunday for the box office estimates, but until then, here's our projections for the top 10 during the November 11 weekend.
|7||Boo! A Madea Halloween|
|10||Jack Reacher: Never Go Back|