BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Can ‘Sucker Punch’ Clobber the Charts This Weekend?

Or does ‘Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Rodrick Rules’ have enough muscle to pull itself into the number one position?
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BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Can ‘Sucker Punch’ Clobber the Charts This Weekend?

PREDICTED WEEKEND BOX OFFICE

1
$26 millionSucker Punch
56%
Users
212 reviews
23%
Tomatoes
206 reviews
3
$11.7 millionLimitless
98%
Users
136 reviews
70%
Tomatoes
191 reviews
4
$10.1 millionRango
89%
Users
135 reviews
88%
Tomatoes
216 reviews
5
$8.9 millionThe Lincoln Lawyer
99%
Users
68 reviews
83%
Tomatoes
170 reviews
6
$7.6 millionBattle: Los Angeles
63%
Users
172 reviews
35%
Tomatoes
206 reviews
7
$6 millionPaul
94%
Users
102 reviews
72%
Tomatoes
198 reviews
8
$4.3 millionRed Riding Hood
57%
Users
72 reviews
11%
Tomatoes
194 reviews
9
$3.9 millionThe Adjustment Bureau
92%
Users
101 reviews
73%
Tomatoes
252 reviews

Limitless turned in a surprising upset at the box office last weekend, earning an unexpected $18 million to take that coveted number one position at the top of the charts away from expected winner Battle: Los Angeles, which fell to number three in its second week of release.

But can Bradley Cooper's dirty drug habits keep him afloat for a second straight week in a row? That is highly unlikely as director Zack Snyder debuts his long-awaited first original big screen concept with the non-remake Sucker Punch. Plus, we can't overlook the family friendly fan favorite Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules, which could prove to have enough muscle to take down Baby Doll and her dangerous insane asylum denizens.

Sucker Punch is expected to take the top position on this weekend's box officer charts with close to $26 million, which may be over shooting it a bit. While Zack Snyder has his fans, and they've been waiting for this one for quite a long time, awareness for the pic is down, with many folks standing outside genre circles confused by the film's marketing approach. Snyder's last film Watchmen earned $55 million when it opened on March 6th of 2009. That movie was an adaptation of a popular DC comic book, and garnered a hefty opening weekend due to its already established fanbase. Sucker Punch has no such fan base, and early word of mouth from Thursday night screenings is telling us that it's a loud, unnecessary essay on the excesses of filmmaking disguised as a loud, unnecessary film. It won't be around for long.

Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules actually stands as stiff competition against Sucker Punch, with an already firmly established fan base, and a franchise based on a series of popular books by Jeff Kinney. Its unlikely that Rodrick Rules will best Sucker Punch, but its estimated to pull in about $25 million, which accounts for that missing half of Watchmen's initial box office take back in 2009. Opening this same time last year, the first Diary of a Wimpy Kid took in a solid $22 million. Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules has the added bonus of being a family film, which will snag all of the younger folks. And a lot of older males, who caught the original on DVD, are looking forward to this follow-up, which could, believe it or not, pull some of Sucker Punch's intended audience away. Especially when it comes to 18-35 year old fathers with young sons.

Limitless will certainly be heavy hit by the combined release of Sucker Punch and Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2, but it is still predicted to fall no further than third place for its second weekend, with an estimated $11 million take. Which isn't a drastic drop from its initial bow last week. Good word of mouth will keep it around for a while.

Opening in limited release is Julian Schnabel's latest film Miral, which, with its surrounding controversy, should impact this weekend's per screen average quite a bit, landing it at the top of that particular chart.

Be sure to check back in on Sunday, when esteemed New York-based writer David Ozanich will be taking over the Box Office columns for us on a regular basis.

Limitless was released March 18th, 2011.

Sucker Punch was released March 25th, 2011.

Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules was released March 25th, 2011.

Sources: Jami Philbrick's Mom

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31 comments

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  • skywise • 4 years ago

    @masta-chiefed haha i know, that is a bit rough.

    reply

    • themime • 4 years ago

      po-tay-toes po-ta-toes man......The Mime just watched it last night and it was awesome.....quite an entertainment.

      reply

      • masta-chiefed • 4 years ago

        Or schumaker is no Snyder.

        reply

        • masta-chiefed • 4 years ago

          @skywise Snyder is no Shumacher. Let's never bring that comparison up again.

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          • skywise • 4 years ago

            @masta-chiefed but then again look what happend when Joel Schumacher failed with his crap movies...he was forced to think "outside the box" with a low budget. Tigerland. While its not perfect, it is a pretty decent movie for its shoe string budget.

            reply

            • masta-chiefed • 4 years ago

              @skywise Saw it. Thought is was great. Don't go into it looking for dramatic stimulation. It's a pure action film. And yes, if Snyder hadn't landed Superman, or if Superman fails on an epic level, I too am worried about the future budgets Snyder will see.

              reply

              • skywise • 4 years ago

                @masta-chiefed so i take it you already saw the film? Then this is good news my friend. It is definatly the next movie i am going to see. I just really wanted this film to rake in the cash because lets face it, Watchmen was considered a failure and if this bombs it might take a while for Snyder to get enough good will to go back to his original stories. I have the faith tho.

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                • masta-chiefed • 4 years ago

                  @skywise Cool. Go in with that attitude. The story is explained. Well at least enough for me. The action scenes are so gorgeous. The choreography is so perfect. The entire final battle sequence is one big eyegasm.

                  I don't think I'm giving anything away when I say the movie is loosely a dictation on spirit guides and transcendental states of mind. have fun.

                  reply

                  • skywise • 4 years ago

                    @masta-chiefed ok i get what you are saying. I was only comparing the two because both have been slammed for their intense action and little character development. I am a Snyder fan (of the die hard variety) and i have been extremly impressed with his work. Even watchmen, which i loved but find myself in the minority on that one.

                    Your right tho, Snyder has an eye for brilliant shots and an imagination to make those shot unique and memorable. I'm on your side.

                    reply

                    • masta-chiefed • 4 years ago

                      @skywise Please. Just don't compare Sucker Punch to Battle LA. Battle LA was complete military masturbatory garbage. Sucker Punch just redefined the action sequences for this decade. No one has an eye for creative battles like Snyder.

                      Battle LA was like a bad video game. I mean really. Just terrible.

                      reply

                      • skywise • 4 years ago

                        @themime You know after seeing all the previews i was NOT expecting some hardcore drama with a fantastic story...i was expecting exactly what it looks like we are getting...a lot like the way i felt about Batlle LA. I am ok with that. This is a movie about art direction and special effects so take it for what it is.

                        reply

                        • themime • 4 years ago

                          right you are @skywise....have you seen the shorts?....they really emphasized how unique it is..... The Mime say it's going to be great....

                          reply

                          • skywise • 4 years ago

                            Sucker Punch is getting hammered by critics but that wont stop me from seeing it. I really hope it is good. It will at least be unique...right? RIGHT?

                            reply

                            • bud2fresh • 4 years ago

                              @TheKingofThorns Yea your right i would have loved more of a "original score" than a music video and some dialogue would have been better but it was nice to see another women other than Mila J. holding her own in a action flick.Like i said i did enjoy this but NO WAY is this worth a 30 dollar blu-ray.

                              reply

                              • jonspidey07 • 4 years ago

                                hope Sucker Punch dominates!

                                reply

                                • moviegeek • 4 years ago

                                  Early estimates hold that Wimpy Kid will win the weekend with about $23 mil. Sucker Punch in second with about $20.

                                  reply

                                  • kguy • 4 years ago

                                    Just came back from it. It was epic!

                                    reply

                                    • thedude-abides • 4 years ago

                                      I'm never good at predicting box office numbers, so I could be WAY off. But I see Sucker Punch easily taking the weekend. There's just too much eye candy...literally, lol. It's the obvious choice.

                                      reply

                                      • narrator • 4 years ago

                                        F*cking disappointing. Even with a PG-13 rating, the film will probably bomb, and arguably rightfully so.

                                        reply

                                        • rexspinas • 4 years ago

                                          @bud2fresh, the films story was nearly non existent, which is a disappointment as I thought it would at least be decent. The cuts were fast and bad, and a lot of the people sitting next to me were lost unnecessarily quick. The actresses, while being better than some expected, really didn't help to carry the film. Other than a few great (amazing actually) fight scenes, and being allowed the pleasure of watching those fine girls tune every sort of bad ass villain up, the film was an overall long winded music video, as songs seemed to dominate the soundtrack versus a rather good score, and the dialouge, when there, didn't really do anything. The last 10 minutes or so picked up, and the film had some shining moments, but it was just an okay movie at the end of the day.

                                          reply

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