BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Will ‘The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey’ Conquer All at the Box Office?

Or will holdovers such as ‘Skyfall’ and ‘Twilight’ provide an incredibly improbable box office upset?
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BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Will ‘The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey’ Conquer All at the Box Office?

PREDICTED WEEKEND BOX OFFICE:

2
$5.8 millionSkyfall
96%
Users
124 reviews
92%
Tomatoes
294 reviews
3
$5.6 millionRise of the Guardians
92%
Users
58 reviews
0%
Tomatoes
143 reviews
4
$5 millionLincoln
95%
Users
51 reviews
89%
Tomatoes
237 reviews
6
$4.5 millionLife of Pi
92%
Users
56 reviews
88%
Tomatoes
216 reviews
7
$3.3 millionPlaying for Keeps
46%
Users
11 reviews
4%
Tomatoes
84 reviews
8
$3.1 millionWreck-It Ralph
99%
Users
76 reviews
86%
Tomatoes
163 reviews
9
$2.7 millionRed Dawn
60%
Users
55 reviews
12%
Tomatoes
127 reviews
10
Flight
99%
Users
62 reviews
78%
Tomatoes
212 reviews

Sources: Brian Gallagher

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22 comments

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  • bawnian-dexeus • 3 years ago

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHP3ivUf5Cs

    @ROFLitschristian@thedude-abides@narrator@moviegeek

    reply

    • thedude1 • 3 years ago

      Estimates so far have The Hobbit coming in at last than predicted. So far it made 37 million on Friday for an estimated 96 million dollar weekend. Either way though it should easily break the opening weekend December record.

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      • ROFLitschristian • 3 years ago

        Hope so. My theater didn't have the biggest Hobbit crows last night because we have three times as many 3D showings as 2D...

        reply

        • thedude-abides • 3 years ago

          @narrator Ah, I see. I wish that weren't the case, but it's probably better to do that than deviate from the books.

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          • narrator • 3 years ago

            Well that actually happened in the books, @thedude-abides. They wouldn't have gotten out of that scenario without the Eagles, and we'll see them again in this series. They represent the fighters Tolkien saw overhead, usually coming in to save the ground troops from overwhelming odds. They HAVE to include that, or it'd do Tolkien's vision a disservice. But yes, a lot of retreading (the way Bilbo put the ring on, etc).

            reply

            • moviegeek • 3 years ago

              Excellent predictions. Spot on.

              reply

              • thedude-abides • 3 years ago

                ***SPOILERS***

                @narrator Haha. Will do.

                @bawnian-dexeus I don't just mean with the story arc; there were several instances where they basically copied from the first three films. The most obvious being the deus ex machina of the giant eagles saving the day once again at the end again.

                reply

                • bawnian-dexeus • 3 years ago

                  @narrator Has it? Hmm, how time flies

                  reply

                  • narrator • 3 years ago

                    I agree with that assessment, @bawnian-dexeus. While the Hobbit is world renown, The Lord of the Rings still trumps it in terms of its fanbase and its influence on modern day fantasy. That, coupled with the film obviously being aimed at younger demographics and the mixed reviews from critics, should definitely slow this would-be mammoth down. Still, it'll make it to the top 40 (All Time) World-Wide Box Office, just as Fellowship has topped in the top thirty films, and RotK and Two Towers in the top ten and twenty, respectively.

                    Anyways, I'll read your review on the film after I'm done writing mine. I don't want any influence but my own on this bad boy. Look forward to it @thedude-abides. My first review in over a year!

                    reply

                    • bawnian-dexeus • 3 years ago

                      It should do well domestically, and well enough overseas, but I don't expect it to top the previous films (Ironically)

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                      • bawnian-dexeus • 3 years ago

                        @thedude-abides@superman81 That was obvious from the start.

                        reply

                        • narrator • 3 years ago

                          Agreed, @thedude-abides. A few too many allusions to Fellowship of the Ring, but that perhaps brought on a much needed nostalgia factor. Like I said to a friend, if Jackson listens to the critiques from the fans in terms of the sequels, and thus tunes down some of the lopsy stuff (mainly Radagast and sh*tty goblins), I feel that the films will only continue to get better as the subject matter darkens.

                          reply

                          • thedude-abides • 3 years ago

                            @superman81 Yeah, I'm interested to see where they take it from here.

                            reply

                            • superman81 • 3 years ago

                              @thedude-abides yea it seemed like a carbon copy but with different characters. But I liked it and I'm intrigued to see the rise of Sauron play out.

                              reply

                              • thedude-abides • 3 years ago

                                @superman81 Agreed. That was my biggest complaint. I really enjoyed the film, but I felt there was a LOT of rehash.

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                                • crypt • 3 years ago

                                  I think Hobbit won't make that much money, but probably still demolish

                                  reply

                                  • superman81 • 3 years ago

                                    The Hobbit was good, I was very weary about Jackson dragging it out 3 movies but it will play out nice. This movie has very similar outline as Fellowship almost too similar at times.

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                                    • JamesBond1964 • 3 years ago

                                      F*ck you and good night.

                                      reply

                                      • JamesBond1964 • 3 years ago

                                        Hobbit can go suck my hairy balls. F*ck anyone who actully is going to watch that childish crap of Hobbitry.

                                        reply

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